Budúcnosť Green dealu, pomoc Ukrajine aj otázka líderstva v EÚ - to všetko závisí od výsledku budúcoročných volieb v Nemecku. V prieskumoch vedú opoziční kresťanskí demokrati, ale súčasný kancelár a líder sociálnych demokratov Olaf Scholz verí, že situácia sa môže opäť zvrtnúť v poslednej chvíli ako v roku 2021. O voľbách v Nemecku a možnej budúcej vláde diskutoval s Evou Mihočkovou, šéfredaktorkou portálu Zahraničná politika, Jakub Eberle, analytik pražského Ústavu medzinárodných vzťahov.
Neistá ale najpravdepodobnejšia je veľká koalícia CDU-CSU a SPD. Politická situácia sa mení aj v Nemecku a je čoraz viac rozdrobená. Ako dodáva J. Eberle: „Voľby sa už vyhrávajú aj so ziskom 20 %. Už to nie je ako kedysi, keď kresťanskí demokrati a socialisti mali dohromady 75 % – 80 % hlasov.“
Podľa prieskumov je dnes na prvom mieste CDU, nasleduje krajne pravicová AfD a na treťom mieste je SPD. Podľa analytika môžu nastať rôzne pohyby a SPD napokon môže získať oveľa lepší výsledok, než sa zdá dnes, pretože nemecká politika sa stala pomerne nepredvídateľnou. Napríklad SPD sa v predvolebných prieskumoch pohybuje na 15 %, ale volebný potenciál sociálnych demokratov by mohol byť aj okolo 50 %. Tri strany sú na hranici 5 %. Ich prípadný vstup do parlamentu alebo naopak neúspech môže výrazne ovplyvniť výslednú matematiku pri skladaní koalície.
Nemecko potrebuje zmeny a reformy, ktoré bude musieť nová vláda nutne realizovať. Znamená to zmenu postoja voči zelenej transformácii? Akým kancelárom by bol líder kresťanských demokratov Friedrich Merz? Viac sa dozviete v rozhovore TU
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